Industrials
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United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS

UPS is a harvest-style vault, built to generate steady cash from a vast global delivery network rather than chase rapid growth.

Because few businesses are as embedded in the global economy, yet as exposed to disruption, as parcel delivery.

Editor in Chief: Mehdi Zare, CFAUpdated Mar 8, 2026MethodologyScoringGlossary

Business Model

Parcel delivery network

UPS charges businesses and consumers to move packages through its air and ground network worldwide.

Economic Engine

Scale-driven density

The more packages flowing through fixed routes and hubs, the lower the cost per package and the stronger the margins.

Long-Term Lens

Volume versus pricing power

Can UPS maintain pricing power as e-commerce giants build their own delivery networks?

BinaPrint Snapshot

Style

3
HarvestBuild

Harvest

Fitness

89
StressedStrong

Strong

Updated Mar 8, 2026

On this page

Company Story

How do United Parcel Service, Inc.'s business model and economics hold up on a closer read?

Start with the business itself, then go one layer deeper into the model, the economics, and the long-term case.

UPS is a cash-generating logistics utility with scale advantages, but long-term returns hinge on pricing discipline and staying ahead of automation and Amazon.

Mehdi Zare, CFA, Bina Capital

What does United Parcel Service, Inc. actually do?

UPS picks up, transports, and delivers packages and freight across the United States and around the world.

  • Operates a vast ground fleet and cargo airline to move parcels
  • Serves small businesses, large corporations, and individual consumers
  • Provides logistics services like warehousing and supply chain management

Why it matters

It is infrastructure for commerce

If goods are being bought and sold, someone has to move them, and UPS is one of the few companies built to do it at global scale.

How does United Parcel Service, Inc. make money?

UPS makes money by charging shipping fees for each package or freight shipment it handles.

  • Revenue comes primarily from domestic and international package delivery
  • Prices vary by weight, distance, speed, and service level
  • Higher package density improves profitability by spreading fixed costs

Economic clue

Operating margin of 9.6%

A near 10% operating margin in a capital-heavy industry shows disciplined pricing and cost control.

Why do long-term investors keep United Parcel Service, Inc. on the radar?

UPS is positioned as a steady cash generator rather than a fast grower, which can anchor a long-term portfolio.

  • Strong financial fitness, with expanding margins
  • Generates meaningful free cash flow with a 5.4% margin
  • No share dilution, preserving ownership for investors

Investor takeaway

Built for durability, not speed

With strong financial health and disciplined capital use, UPS looks more like a utility than a high-growth tech stock.

Based on company financial statements.

What Could Change The Story

  • Matured would move the profile toward Summit.
  • Faded would move the profile toward Yield.

Benchmark Comparison

How has United Parcel Service, Inc. performed against common long-term benchmarks?

Once the business case is clear, compare the stock against broad market and alternative long-term baselines.

$1,000 baseline
UPS

$622.63

-37.7% total return

-$377.37 vs. starting value
S&P 500

$1,753

+75.3% total return

+$752.68 vs. starting value
Gold

$2,975

+197.5% total return

+$1,975 vs. starting value
Bitcoin

$1,393

+39.3% total return

+$392.53 vs. starting value
United Parcel Service, Inc. benchmark comparison — 5y period
AssetTotal ReturnDollar Value
UPS-37.7%$622.63
S&P 500+75.3%$1,753
Gold+197.5%$2,975
Bitcoin+39.3%$1,393

From Mar 5, 2021 to Mar 6, 2026. Historical price data based on company financial statements and market indices. Each card uses the same starting amount so the comparison stays apples-to-apples.

Investor Fit

How a first-time investor could frame United Parcel Service, Inc.

Before going deeper, decide what kind of business this is, what it tends to suit, and what deserves monitoring over time.

This Can Fit If You Want

  • A large, established company with global scale
  • Steady cash generation over rapid expansion
  • Exposure to long-term e-commerce and global trade flows

Be Careful If You Expect

  • Fast revenue growth, recent 5-year average revenue declined 2.3% per year
  • Explosive earnings growth, 5-year average earnings fell 18.3% per year
  • High margins typical of software or asset-light businesses

What To Watch Over Time

  • Whether operating margin stays near or above 10%
  • Free cash flow conversion, currently about 0.86 times net income
  • Competitive pressure from large retailers building in-house delivery

BinaPrint Position

Where does United Parcel Service, Inc. sit on the BinaPrint map right now?

Test whether business quality and financial profile match the company's stated narrative.

Key Metrics

Which metrics matter most for United Parcel Service, Inc. right now?

Three durable business metrics that matter more than day-to-day price moves.

Revenue Growth

-2.3% per year

Shows that the business has recently been shrinking slightly rather than expanding.
EPS Growth

-18.3% per year

Shows that earnings per share have declined meaningfully over the past five years.
Margin Quality

18.5% gross margin

Shows the basic profitability of moving packages after direct costs.
United Parcel Service, Inc. key metrics
MetricValueContext
Revenue Growth-2.3% per yearShows that the business has recently been shrinking slightly rather than expanding.
EPS Growth-18.3% per yearShows that earnings per share have declined meaningfully over the past five years.
Margin Quality18.5% gross marginShows the basic profitability of moving packages after direct costs.

Based on company financial statements.

Fundamentals

What do United Parcel Service, Inc.'s fundamentals say right now?

Core financial markers that explain how the business is performing beneath the stock price.

Capital Efficiency

21.8% ROIC

The business is currently showing excellent capital efficiency.
Profitability

18.5% gross margin

Healthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation

5.4% FCF margin

Free cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership Trend

Stable to shrinking

The company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.
United Parcel Service, Inc. fundamental metrics
MetricValueInterpretation
Capital Efficiency21.8% ROICThe business is currently showing excellent capital efficiency.
Profitability18.5% gross marginHealthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation5.4% FCF marginFree cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership TrendStable to shrinkingThe company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.

Based on company financial statements.

Included In Funds

Which ETFs and funds currently hold United Parcel Service, Inc.?

United Parcel Service, Inc. currently appears in these ETF and fund proxies.

As of Mar 4, 2026
SS

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

IR

IWB

iShares Russell 1000 ETF

Questions & Answers

What questions come up most often about United Parcel Service, Inc.?

Company-specific questions readers often ask about United Parcel Service, Inc..

Each entry answers a direct question about the business, the long-term thesis, or the risks that matter over time.

UPS transports packages and freight for businesses and consumers using its global air and ground delivery network.

Decision Framing

Secondary context after the long-term thesis

Shorter-horizon context and comparison tools, after the core long-term read.

Shorter-horizon price moves, two-sided debate, and comparison tools live here so the page stays anchored on business quality, durability, and BinaPrint fit first.

Investment Thesis

Bull vs Bear

Two-sided framing before any decision.

4 bull points
4 bear points

Current argument weight is balanced.

Bull case

What can work

Its global delivery network, built over decades with aircraft, hubs, and route density, would be extraordinarily expensive and time-consuming for a new entrant to replicate.

E-commerce and small business shipping should grow steadily over 10 to 20 years, providing a structural tailwind even if growth is modest.

Strong financial fitness, with expanding margins and positive free cash flow, gives UPS flexibility during recessions when weaker competitors may struggle.

Automation in sorting centers and route optimization software can gradually lift productivity, supporting margins even if volume growth is slow.

Bear case

What can break

Large customers like Amazon continue building their own delivery capabilities, potentially reducing volume and weakening UPS pricing power.

Parcel delivery is capital-intensive, and rising labor or fuel costs could permanently compress margins if price increases do not keep pace.

Technological shifts such as localized manufacturing or drone-based delivery networks could reduce reliance on centralized parcel carriers.

Global trade fragmentation or protectionist policies could dampen international shipment volumes for an extended period.

Risk Radar

Key Risks

Where downside pressure can build.

1
High risk

Customer concentration, loss of a major shipper could meaningfully impact revenue given thin 6.3% net margins

2
High risk

Labor intensity, with 490,000 employees, wage inflation can quickly erode a 9.6% operating margin

3
Medium risk

Capital intensity, 3.7 billion dollars in annual capital spending must generate adequate returns to justify ongoing investment

i

Sizing matters

Risks should be read as scenario inputs, not certainties. Position size and time horizon determine how much of this downside profile is acceptable.

Market Snapshot

Tactical context after the core long-term read.

Price
$102.36
Daily move
-1.64%

Next Actions

Explore planning scenarios or keep browsing similar companies.