Financial Services
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Moody's Corporation

MCO

Moody's has built a durable franchise at the heart of global credit markets, converting trust and regulation into decades of high-margin cash flow.

Because few businesses combine 44.8% operating margins with such a central role in the financial system.

Editor in Chief: Mehdi Zare, CFAUpdated Mar 8, 2026MethodologyScoringGlossary

Business Model

Ratings plus data

It rates debt for issuers and sells data and analytics tools to financial institutions.

Economic Engine

High recurring cash flow

A 31.9% net margin and strong cash conversion turn trust into durable profits.

Long-Term Lens

Debt market growth

The key question is whether global borrowing and demand for risk analysis keep expanding.

BinaPrint Snapshot

Style

95
HarvestBuild

Build

Fitness

95
StressedStrong

Strong

Updated Mar 8, 2026

On this page

Company Story

How do Moody's Corporation's business model and economics hold up on a closer read?

Start with the business itself, then go one layer deeper into the model, the economics, and the long-term case.

Moody's is a high-margin toll collector on global debt, built to compound steadily as long as the world keeps borrowing.

Mehdi Zare, CFA, Bina Capital

What does Moody's Corporation actually do?

Moody's evaluates the creditworthiness of borrowers and sells financial data and risk tools to investors and institutions.

  • Issues credit ratings on corporate, government, and structured debt
  • Provides risk analytics, research, and software to banks and asset managers
  • Operates globally as one of the most recognized rating agencies

Why it matters

Trust is the product

Investors rely on Moody's opinions to decide where to place billions of dollars, which makes its brand central to capital markets.

How does Moody's Corporation make money?

Moody's charges issuers to rate their debt and sells subscriptions and analytics tools to financial institutions.

  • Fees from companies and governments issuing bonds
  • Subscription revenue from data, research, and risk management software
  • Global client base tied to ongoing borrowing and portfolio monitoring

Economic clue

44.8% operating margin

Such high margins suggest pricing power and a cost structure that scales well as revenue grows.

Why do long-term investors keep Moody's Corporation on the radar?

Moody's sits at a structural chokepoint in global finance and converts that position into steady, high-quality cash flow.

  • Global debt markets tend to expand over decades as economies grow
  • Credit ratings are embedded in regulations and investment mandates
  • Strong free cash flow supports buybacks and reinvestment

Investor takeaway

33.4% free cash flow margin

A third of revenue turning into free cash flow gives management flexibility to compound shareholder value.

Based on company financial statements.

What Could Change The Story

  • Proved it would move the profile toward Venture.
  • Matured would move the profile toward Vault.

Benchmark Comparison

How has Moody's Corporation performed against common long-term benchmarks?

Once the business case is clear, compare the stock against broad market and alternative long-term baselines.

$1,000 baseline
MCO

$1,642

+64.2% total return

+$641.98 vs. starting value
S&P 500

$1,753

+75.3% total return

+$752.68 vs. starting value
Gold

$2,975

+197.5% total return

+$1,975 vs. starting value
Bitcoin

$1,393

+39.3% total return

+$392.53 vs. starting value
Moody's Corporation benchmark comparison — 5y period
AssetTotal ReturnDollar Value
MCO+64.2%$1,642
S&P 500+75.3%$1,753
Gold+197.5%$2,975
Bitcoin+39.3%$1,393

From Mar 5, 2021 to Mar 6, 2026. Historical price data based on company financial statements and market indices. Each card uses the same starting amount so the comparison stays apples-to-apples.

Investor Fit

How a first-time investor could frame Moody's Corporation

Before going deeper, decide what kind of business this is, what it tends to suit, and what deserves monitoring over time.

This Can Fit If You Want

  • A capital-light business with 44.8% operating margins
  • Exposure to long-term growth in global debt and capital markets
  • Strong balance sheet and consistent share buybacks

Be Careful If You Expect

  • Rapid double-digit revenue growth every year
  • High dividend income, dividends are currently minimal
  • Immunity from regulatory or political scrutiny

What To Watch Over Time

  • Long-term growth rate of global bond issuance
  • Margin trends, especially since margins are contracting
  • Competitive pressure from alternative data and risk models

BinaPrint Position

Where does Moody's Corporation sit on the BinaPrint map right now?

Test whether business quality and financial profile match the company's stated narrative.

Key Metrics

Which metrics matter most for Moody's Corporation right now?

Three durable business metrics that matter more than day-to-day price moves.

Revenue Growth

5.6% average over 5 years

Shows whether the business has been expanding fast enough to create more long-term value.
EPS Growth

3.7% average over 5 years

Shows whether earnings per share are compounding for owners over time.
Margin Quality

44.8% operating margin

Shows how much room the business has to fund growth, absorb shocks, and stay profitable.
Moody's Corporation key metrics
MetricValueContext
Revenue Growth5.6% average over 5 yearsShows whether the business has been expanding fast enough to create more long-term value.
EPS Growth3.7% average over 5 yearsShows whether earnings per share are compounding for owners over time.
Margin Quality44.8% operating marginShows how much room the business has to fund growth, absorb shocks, and stay profitable.

Based on company financial statements.

Fundamentals

What do Moody's Corporation's fundamentals say right now?

Core financial markers that explain how the business is performing beneath the stock price.

Capital Efficiency

22.9% ROIC

The business is currently showing excellent capital efficiency.
Profitability

68.2% gross margin

Healthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation

33.4% FCF margin

Free cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership Trend

Stable to shrinking

The company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.
Moody's Corporation fundamental metrics
MetricValueInterpretation
Capital Efficiency22.9% ROICThe business is currently showing excellent capital efficiency.
Profitability68.2% gross marginHealthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation33.4% FCF marginFree cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership TrendStable to shrinkingThe company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.

Based on company financial statements.

Included In Funds

Which ETFs and funds currently hold Moody's Corporation?

Moody's Corporation currently appears in these ETF and fund proxies.

As of Mar 4, 2026
SS

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

IR

IWB

iShares Russell 1000 ETF

Questions & Answers

What questions come up most often about Moody's Corporation?

Company-specific questions readers often ask about Moody's Corporation.

Each entry answers a direct question about the business, the long-term thesis, or the risks that matter over time.

Moody's evaluates the credit risk of companies and governments and sells financial data and analytics tools to investors and institutions.

Decision Framing

Secondary context after the long-term thesis

Shorter-horizon context and comparison tools, after the core long-term read.

Shorter-horizon price moves, two-sided debate, and comparison tools live here so the page stays anchored on business quality, durability, and BinaPrint fit first.

Investment Thesis

Bull vs Bear

Two-sided framing before any decision.

4 bull points
4 bear points

Current argument weight is balanced.

Bull case

What can work

Global debt levels have trended upward for decades, and as long as governments and corporations continue borrowing, Moody's sits at the center collecting fees on issuance.

Credit ratings are embedded in regulations and investment mandates, creating structural demand that is difficult for new entrants to displace.

High margins, 44.8% at the operating level and 31.9% net, provide resilience and the ability to invest in data and analytics capabilities.

Strong free cash flow, running at 1.05 times net income, funds buybacks and selective acquisitions without straining the balance sheet.

Bear case

What can break

Regulatory overhaul could reduce reliance on traditional credit ratings, especially if policymakers seek to reduce the influence of major rating agencies.

Technological disruption from artificial intelligence-driven risk models could commoditize credit analysis and pressure pricing over time.

A prolonged structural decline in bond issuance, for example due to alternative financing channels, could shrink the core ratings revenue pool.

Reputation damage from major rating failures in a future financial crisis could erode trust, which is the foundation of the business.

Risk Radar

Key Risks

Where downside pressure can build.

1
High risk

Regulatory risk, a significant portion of revenue tied to ratings that are embedded in financial regulations, changes could directly reduce demand.

2
High risk

Market dependency, revenue linked to global debt issuance volumes, which can swing sharply during financial crises.

3
Medium risk

Margin pressure, operating margin has been contracting from previously higher levels, sustained decline could reduce long-term returns.

Pressure points

Concentration risk

A substantial portion of Moody's revenue is tied to credit ratings, which depend on global bond issuance volumes. If issuance falls materially for several years, revenue and profit could decline in tandem. However, the company is diversified across geographies and borrower types rather than reliant on a single customer.

i

Sizing matters

Risks should be read as scenario inputs, not certainties. Position size and time horizon determine how much of this downside profile is acceptable.

Market Snapshot

Tactical context after the core long-term read.

Price
$471.97
Daily move
+0.41%

Next Actions

Explore planning scenarios or keep browsing similar companies.