Consumer Cyclical
D.R. Horton, Inc. logo

D.R. Horton, Inc.

DHI

D.R. Horton’s scale and focus on entry-level housing position it to outlast smaller builders over the next two decades.

Housing is cyclical, but scale and discipline can turn cycles into opportunity.

Editor in Chief: Mehdi Zare, CFAUpdated Mar 8, 2026MethodologyScoringGlossary

Business Model

Build and sell homes

It buys land, develops communities, builds houses, and sells them to individuals and families.

Economic Engine

Scale-driven margins

Large purchasing power and national reach support double-digit operating margins in good years.

Long-Term Lens

Housing supply gap

The key question is whether long-term housing shortages outweigh inevitable economic cycles.

On this page

Company Story

How do D.R. Horton, Inc.'s business model and economics hold up on a closer read?

Start with the business itself, then go one layer deeper into the model, the economics, and the long-term case.

A scale-driven homebuilding machine that can compound through housing cycles, but only for investors who can stomach volatility.

Mehdi Zare, CFA, Bina Capital

What does D.R. Horton, Inc. actually do?

D.R. Horton buys land, builds homes, and sells them across dozens of U.S. markets.

  • Develops land into build-ready communities
  • Constructs primarily single-family homes, especially entry-level
  • Sells homes directly to buyers, often with in-house mortgage services

Why it matters

Shelter is a basic need

Housing demand does not disappear, but it moves in cycles tied to interest rates and jobs.

How does D.R. Horton, Inc. make money?

It earns money by selling newly built homes for more than the cost of land, labor, and materials.

  • Gross margin of 23.7 percent shows room between build cost and selling price
  • Operating margin of 12.9 percent reflects scale and cost control
  • Net margin of 10.5 percent means about ten cents of every dollar of sales becomes profit

Economic clue

Solid but cyclical margins

Margins are healthy for a builder but have been contracting, reminding investors that this is not a steady utility.

Why do long-term investors keep D.R. Horton, Inc. on the radar?

It offers exposure to long-term housing demand with the benefits of national scale.

  • Five-year average revenue growth of 5.4 percent shows steady expansion over time
  • Strong share buybacks of 4.3 billion dollars in the last 12 months boost per-share ownership
  • No share dilution means existing owners are not being watered down

Investor takeaway

Scale plus discipline

Large builders with disciplined capital allocation often emerge stronger after downturns.

Based on company financial statements.

Benchmark Comparison

How has D.R. Horton, Inc. performed against common long-term benchmarks?

Once the business case is clear, compare the stock against broad market and alternative long-term baselines.

$1,000 baseline
DHI

$1,864

+86.4% total return

+$863.82 vs. starting value
S&P 500

$1,753

+75.3% total return

+$752.68 vs. starting value
Gold

$2,975

+197.5% total return

+$1,975 vs. starting value
Bitcoin

$1,393

+39.3% total return

+$392.53 vs. starting value
D.R. Horton, Inc. benchmark comparison — 5y period
AssetTotal ReturnDollar Value
DHI+86.4%$1,864
S&P 500+75.3%$1,753
Gold+197.5%$2,975
Bitcoin+39.3%$1,393

From Mar 5, 2021 to Mar 6, 2026. Historical price data based on company financial statements and market indices. Each card uses the same starting amount so the comparison stays apples-to-apples.

Investor Fit

How a first-time investor could frame D.R. Horton, Inc.

Before going deeper, decide what kind of business this is, what it tends to suit, and what deserves monitoring over time.

This Can Fit If You Want

  • Exposure to long-term U.S. housing demand
  • A company that aggressively buys back shares when cash is strong
  • A cyclical business that can gain share during downturns

Be Careful If You Expect

  • Smooth and predictable earnings every year
  • Rapid high-tech style growth
  • Immunity from interest rate swings

What To Watch Over Time

  • Operating margin trend, currently 12.9 percent and contracting
  • Free cash flow compared to net income, currently about 0.92 times
  • Land discipline and inventory levels during housing booms

Key Metrics

Which metrics matter most for D.R. Horton, Inc. right now?

Three durable business metrics that matter more than day-to-day price moves.

Revenue Growth

5.4% average over 5 years

Shows whether the business has been expanding fast enough to create more long-term value.
EPS Growth

0.1% average over 5 years

Shows whether earnings per share are compounding for owners over time.
Margin Quality

23.7% gross margin

Shows how much room the business has to fund growth, absorb shocks, and stay profitable.
D.R. Horton, Inc. key metrics
MetricValueContext
Revenue Growth5.4% average over 5 yearsShows whether the business has been expanding fast enough to create more long-term value.
EPS Growth0.1% average over 5 yearsShows whether earnings per share are compounding for owners over time.
Margin Quality23.7% gross marginShows how much room the business has to fund growth, absorb shocks, and stay profitable.

Based on company financial statements.

Fundamentals

What do D.R. Horton, Inc.'s fundamentals say right now?

Core financial markers that explain how the business is performing beneath the stock price.

Capital Efficiency

19.5% ROIC

The business is currently showing good capital efficiency.
Profitability

23.7% gross margin

Healthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation

9.6% FCF margin

Free cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership Trend

Stable to shrinking

The company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.
D.R. Horton, Inc. fundamental metrics
MetricValueInterpretation
Capital Efficiency19.5% ROICThe business is currently showing good capital efficiency.
Profitability23.7% gross marginHealthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation9.6% FCF marginFree cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership TrendStable to shrinkingThe company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.

Based on company financial statements.

Included In Funds

Which ETFs and funds currently hold D.R. Horton, Inc.?

D.R. Horton, Inc. currently appears in these ETF and fund proxies.

As of Mar 4, 2026
SS

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

IR

IWB

iShares Russell 1000 ETF

Questions & Answers

What questions come up most often about D.R. Horton, Inc.?

Company-specific questions readers often ask about D.R. Horton, Inc..

Each entry answers a direct question about the business, the long-term thesis, or the risks that matter over time.

D.R. Horton buys land, builds residential homes, and sells them to buyers across the United States.

Decision Framing

Secondary context after the long-term thesis

Shorter-horizon context and comparison tools, after the core long-term read.

Shorter-horizon price moves, two-sided debate, and comparison tools live here so the page stays anchored on business quality, durability, and BinaPrint fit first.

Investment Thesis

Bull vs Bear

Two-sided framing before any decision.

4 bull points
4 bear points

Current argument weight is balanced.

Bull case

What can work

The United States faces a long-term housing supply shortage, and D.R. Horton’s focus on entry-level homes aligns with first-time buyer demand over decades.

National scale allows the company to negotiate material costs and access capital more easily than small regional builders, which can help it gain share during downturns.

Consistent buybacks, 4.3 billion dollars in the last 12 months, shrink the share count and amplify per-share returns when the cycle turns up.

A diversified geographic footprint reduces reliance on any single city or state housing market.

Bear case

What can break

Homebuilding has low structural barriers to entry, and in prolonged downturns excess land and inventory can crush margins and returns.

A sustained period of high interest rates could structurally reduce affordability, shrinking the pool of qualified buyers for years.

Rising labor and material costs without matching home price increases could permanently compress the current 23.7 percent gross margin.

Policy changes around zoning, environmental rules, or property taxes could raise costs and delay projects across key markets.

Risk Radar

Key Risks

Where downside pressure can build.

1
High risk

Interest rate sensitivity: a sharp rise in mortgage rates can reduce buyer demand and pressure the 12.9 percent operating margin.

2
High risk

Inventory risk: large land holdings can tie up billions in capital and lead to write-downs in a housing downturn.

3
Medium risk

Margin compression: gross margin of 23.7 percent could fall meaningfully if input costs rise faster than home prices.

i

Sizing matters

Risks should be read as scenario inputs, not certainties. Position size and time horizon determine how much of this downside profile is acceptable.

Market Snapshot

Tactical context after the core long-term read.

Price
$147.26
Daily move
-1.75%

Next Actions

Explore planning scenarios or keep browsing similar companies.