Consumer Cyclical
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Ball Corporation

BALL

Ball Corporation is a scale leader in aluminum beverage cans, riding long-term demand for recyclable packaging.

Because the future of packaging may be more important than the brands inside it.

Editor in Chief: Mehdi Zare, CFAUpdated Mar 8, 2026MethodologyScoringGlossary

Business Model

High-volume can supplier

Ball manufactures and sells aluminum beverage cans to major drink companies worldwide.

Economic Engine

Scale and efficiency

Profits come from running massive plants efficiently and spreading fixed costs over billions of cans.

Long-Term Lens

Packaging shift to aluminum

The key question is whether aluminum keeps gaining share from plastic and glass over decades.

On this page

Company Story

How do Ball Corporation's business model and economics hold up on a closer read?

Start with the business itself, then go one layer deeper into the model, the economics, and the long-term case.

A scale-driven packaging workhorse with steady cash power, but limited pricing muscle in a commodity business.

Mehdi Zare, CFA, Bina Capital

What does Ball Corporation actually do?

Ball Corporation makes aluminum beverage cans and related packaging for drink companies.

  • Produces aluminum cans for soda, beer, energy drinks, and sparkling water
  • Operates large manufacturing plants across the Americas and Europe
  • Sells mostly to global beverage brands and regional drink producers

Why it matters

Everyday product, massive scale

Beverage cans are a daily-use product, and global demand runs into tens of billions of units each year.

How does Ball Corporation make money?

Ball makes money by selling huge volumes of aluminum cans at thin margins but high efficiency.

  • Earns a small profit on each can produced
  • Uses long-term contracts with major beverage customers
  • Improves margins by running plants efficiently and controlling costs

Economic clue

10.6% operating margin

A roughly 10.6% operating margin shows this is a disciplined but not high-margin business, typical of industrial manufacturing.

Why do long-term investors keep Ball Corporation on the radar?

Ball sits at the center of a global shift toward recyclable aluminum packaging.

  • Aluminum is highly recyclable and often favored over plastic
  • Beverage consumption is stable and grows with population and income
  • Scale creates cost advantages that smaller rivals struggle to match

Investor takeaway

Steady but not explosive

Five-year average revenue growth of negative 1.4% shows this is cyclical and mature, not a hypergrowth story.

Based on company financial statements.

Benchmark Comparison

How has Ball Corporation performed against common long-term benchmarks?

Once the business case is clear, compare the stock against broad market and alternative long-term baselines.

$1,000 baseline
BALL

$760.61

-23.9% total return

-$239.39 vs. starting value
S&P 500

$1,753

+75.3% total return

+$752.68 vs. starting value
Gold

$2,975

+197.5% total return

+$1,975 vs. starting value
Bitcoin

$1,393

+39.3% total return

+$392.53 vs. starting value
Ball Corporation benchmark comparison — 5y period
AssetTotal ReturnDollar Value
BALL-23.9%$760.61
S&P 500+75.3%$1,753
Gold+197.5%$2,975
Bitcoin+39.3%$1,393

From Mar 5, 2021 to Mar 6, 2026. Historical price data based on company financial statements and market indices. Each card uses the same starting amount so the comparison stays apples-to-apples.

Investor Fit

How a first-time investor could frame Ball Corporation

Before going deeper, decide what kind of business this is, what it tends to suit, and what deserves monitoring over time.

This Can Fit If You Want

  • Exposure to global beverage demand without betting on one drink brand
  • A real-asset industrial business with tangible products
  • Shareholder returns driven by buybacks, with $1.3 billion repurchased in the last 12 months

Be Careful If You Expect

  • High profit margins, gross margin is about 14.9%
  • Fast and steady revenue growth, five-year average growth is negative 1.4%
  • Immunity from commodity swings, aluminum prices matter

What To Watch Over Time

  • Operating margin trend, currently around 10.6% and expanding
  • Free cash flow conversion, running at 0.86 times net income
  • Capital allocation discipline, especially pace and price of buybacks

Key Metrics

Which metrics matter most for Ball Corporation right now?

Three durable business metrics that matter more than day-to-day price moves.

Revenue Growth

Negative 1.4% five-year average

Shows that over a full cycle, the business has been mature and somewhat cyclical rather than consistently expanding.
EPS Growth

5.5% five-year average

Indicates modest long-term earnings compounding despite revenue volatility.
Margin Quality

14.9% gross margin

Reflects a manufacturing business with limited pricing power but disciplined cost control.
Ball Corporation key metrics
MetricValueContext
Revenue GrowthNegative 1.4% five-year averageShows that over a full cycle, the business has been mature and somewhat cyclical rather than consistently expanding.
EPS Growth5.5% five-year averageIndicates modest long-term earnings compounding despite revenue volatility.
Margin Quality14.9% gross marginReflects a manufacturing business with limited pricing power but disciplined cost control.

Based on company financial statements.

Fundamentals

What do Ball Corporation's fundamentals say right now?

Core financial markers that explain how the business is performing beneath the stock price.

Capital Efficiency

7.6% ROIC

The business is currently showing poor capital efficiency.
Profitability

14.9% gross margin

Healthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation

6.0% FCF margin

Free cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership Trend

Stable to shrinking

The company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.
Ball Corporation fundamental metrics
MetricValueInterpretation
Capital Efficiency7.6% ROICThe business is currently showing poor capital efficiency.
Profitability14.9% gross marginHealthy gross margins give the company room to invest, price competitively, and absorb shocks.
Cash Generation6.0% FCF marginFree cash flow margin shows how much real cash the business keeps after funding operations and investment.
Ownership TrendStable to shrinkingThe company is not currently diluting owners and may be buying back shares instead.

Based on company financial statements.

Included In Funds

Which ETFs and funds currently hold Ball Corporation?

Ball Corporation currently appears in these ETF and fund proxies.

As of Mar 4, 2026
SS

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Questions & Answers

What questions come up most often about Ball Corporation?

Company-specific questions readers often ask about Ball Corporation.

Each entry answers a direct question about the business, the long-term thesis, or the risks that matter over time.

Ball Corporation manufactures aluminum beverage cans and related packaging for global and regional drink companies.

Decision Framing

Secondary context after the long-term thesis

Shorter-horizon context and comparison tools, after the core long-term read.

Shorter-horizon price moves, two-sided debate, and comparison tools live here so the page stays anchored on business quality, durability, and BinaPrint fit first.

Investment Thesis

Bull vs Bear

Two-sided framing before any decision.

4 bull points
4 bear points

Current argument weight is balanced.

Bull case

What can work

Aluminum is one of the most recyclable materials on earth, and if regulators and consumers keep pushing away from plastic, aluminum cans could steadily gain share for decades.

Scale advantages matter, running massive plants at high utilization spreads fixed costs and can protect a 10% plus operating margin in a tough industry.

Beverage demand is resilient, tied to population growth and rising incomes, providing a stable volume base even in economic slowdowns.

Aggressive buybacks, $1.3 billion in the last year, can meaningfully boost earnings per share over time if done at disciplined prices.

Bear case

What can break

Beverage cans are close to a commodity, and large customers can pressure prices, squeezing margins below the current 10.6% operating level.

A structural decline in soda or beer consumption in key markets could reduce long-term can volumes.

Technological shifts toward alternative packaging, such as improved recyclable plastics or refill systems, could erode aluminum demand.

High capital intensity means prolonged downturns can leave plants underutilized, dragging profitability for years.

Risk Radar

Key Risks

Where downside pressure can build.

1
High risk

Customer concentration risk, large global beverage brands likely represent a significant share of revenue, giving them pricing leverage.

2
High risk

Commodity exposure, aluminum price swings can pressure margins if not fully passed through to customers.

3
Medium risk

Cyclical demand risk, revenue declined on average 1.4% per year over five years, showing sensitivity to industry cycles.

i

Sizing matters

Risks should be read as scenario inputs, not certainties. Position size and time horizon determine how much of this downside profile is acceptable.

Market Snapshot

Tactical context after the core long-term read.

Price
$62.53
Daily move
-1.09%

Next Actions

Explore planning scenarios or keep browsing similar companies.